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Dollar strengthens as markets brace for Trump address

by thelink
January 21, 2026
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The U.S. Dollar has regained its footing today, Wednesday, 21 January 2026, edging higher against the Euro and the Swiss Franc. Investors have pivoted to a “wait-and-see” approach, pausing the recent sell-off as they await a major policy speech from President Donald Trump scheduled for later today.

The greenback’s recovery reflects a mix of safe-haven demand and speculation that the President will clarify his administration’s aggressive tariff and trade stance, which has kept global markets on edge all week.

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The dollar’s move today reversed some of the losses seen on Tuesday when “tariff fatigue” briefly weighed on U.S. assets.

  • EUR/USD: The Euro fell 0.4% to trade at $1.0875, retreating from yesterday’s highs as concerns over Eurozone industrial weakness persist.

  • USD/CHF: The Dollar rose 0.3% against the Swiss Franc to 0.8650 CHF, as the typical “safe-haven” appeal of the Franc was overshadowed by a stronger bid for U.S. liquidity.

  • DXY (Dollar Index): Rose to 103.20, up from yesterday’s close of 102.85.

Market analysts suggest that the upcoming speech from the White House will focus on “Economic Sovereignty and Reciprocal Trade.” Traders are looking for clarity on three key points:

  1. Greenland Tariffs: Following the friction with Denmark reported earlier, investors are watching to see if the threat of 10-20% duties on Nordic goods is formalized.

  2. China Trade Deadlines: Any mention of specific dates for the 60% tariff hikes on Chinese tech could spark another wave of dollar buying (due to safe-haven flows).

  3. Domestic Growth Incentives: Hints at further corporate tax cuts or deregulation could drive U.S. Treasury yields higher, making the dollar more attractive to yield-seeking investors.

Forex Market Sentiment (21 January 2026)
PairCurrent TrendDriver
USD/JPYStrong BullishWidening interest rate gap between Fed and BoJ.
GBP/USDModerate BearishUK trade anxiety following the Chagos/Diego Garcia row.
AUD/USDBearishWeakness in commodity prices due to China trade fears.

Simon Greaves, Head of FX Strategy at Global Capital:

“The market is currently in a state of suspended animation. No one wants to be short the dollar right before a Trump speech that could announce sweeping new executive orders. We are seeing a classic ‘buy the rumor’ play here, where the dollar is benefiting from the sheer uncertainty of what might be said.”

While the White House focuses on trade, several Federal Reserve officials are also slated to speak today. Investors will be listening closely to see if the central bank is beginning to factor the inflationary impact of potential tariffs into their interest rate path for the remainder of 2026.

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